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RESEARCH & POLICY
Economic Analysis of Updated Commission Recommendations
Friday, June 1, 2007
National Commission on Energy
Policy
This
appendix describes the results of a modeling
analysis undertaken to
assess the economic and emissions impacts of
updated recommendations
issued by the National Commission on Energy
Policy in April 2007.
Those recommendations sought to accelerate
progress in areas where the
Commission believes current energy-policy
initiatives remain inadequate
to the challenges at hand, particularly with
respect to oil security
and climate change. Specifically, the
Commission has recently proposed
to strengthen key parameters of the mandatory,
economy-wide
greenhouse-gas trading program first proposed
in its 2004 report,
Ending the Energy Stalemate, and has
recommended a package of
supplementary policies to improve vehicle fuel
economy, promote energy
efficiency, boost incentives for carbon
capture and storage, and
increase the renewable-energy contribution to
the nation’s electricity
supply.
To analyze the combined impact of these
recommendations, the Commission
used the National Energy Modeling System
(NEMS), a detailed model of
energy production and consumption used by the
U.S. Energy Information
Administration (EIA) to develop forecasts and
assess policy options.1
The Commission was interested in using this
tool to estimate benefits,
costs, and sectoral impacts under different
program parameters and in
exploring how technology and sector-oriented
policies might interact
with a broad-based greenhouse-gas price
signal.
Download the full report below.